Who Has The Best Mathematical Models For Predicting The Oscars?
Social Oscars screenshot The Social Oscars is one of several statistical models now at work predicting this year's Oscar winners. Screenshot from the Social Oscars by Brandwatch and The CreditsChoose your favorite data-driven model for predicting Oscar wins. Forget what movie you actually liked. And forget the experts. The hot new way to predict winners is by using quantifiable data and rigorous statistical analyses. As one quantitative Oscar-predictor wrote in the Huffington Post, "This method is entirely mathematical: no personal hunches are taken into account." A little impersonal, but hey. This is life in the Nate Silver era. Herewith is our guide to some of the top mathematical models for predicting the Oscars: PredictWise Who PredictWise is run by David Rothschild, an economist now with Microsoft Research. How it works PredictWise's Oscar projections combine data from several prediction markets, as well as data gathered from a game people can play to help with Rothschild's research....