Predicting The Internet, A How-to
Friday, November 12, 2010 - 19:40
in Mathematics & Economics
The best way to discover whether someone is full of crap or not is to look at their past predictions. If you're digital media expert Jim Griffin and you put your rep publically on the line predicting internet video in 2002, you're probably on the side of 'smart and right'. Jim Griffin (onehouse.com) made a wager at LongBets that “A profitable video-on-demand service aimed at consumers will offer 10,000 titles to 5 million subscribers by 2010.” He won, donating the $2000 prize to the EFF. Was this futurism, the random picking of potential paths by a random pundit? In his own analysis on a private list, read more