Polling caller guesses found to be useful in predicting which respondents will follow through on claims

Tuesday, May 24, 2016 - 11:21 in Psychology & Sociology

(Phys.org)—A trio of researchers has, by conducting two studies, found evidence that suggests untrained polling callers are able to "guess" with almost 60 percent accuracy, which people they call will actually follow through on claims they have made regarding whether they will vote in an upcoming election. In their paper published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Todd Rogers, with Harvard University and Leanne Brinke and Dana Carney with the University of California, describe their two studies and their assessment of possible signals given by respondents that potentially serve as cues to polling callers that give away their true intent.

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