Predicting Baseball The Science Way: The Red Sox Have A Big Edge In The World Series

Wednesday, October 23, 2013 - 16:50 in Mathematics & Economics

The World Series begins in a few hours and while they have to play the games, math can project winners and losers - and the math says the Boston Red Sox have a 70% chance of winning it all. Unlike a Presidential contest, which is one day and one winner but for which voters can be polled in advance, baseball incorporates a lot of variables and there are up to 7 games. And things happen during each game. There are only so many data points that can be factored in as parameters and using those parameters, statistical methods like Bayes and Markov can help you look smart at the sports bar. read more

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